Sunday, May 12, 2013

Elections 2013 Analysis Report


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Nawaz Sharif after being toppled in a 1999 overthrow, jailed and exiled, has made a successful election return and was bearing for a third term as Pakistan's prime minister.


The polls were a signpost, marking the first time one elected government will swap another. But the vote botched to apprehend the hopes of many that dynastic politics would end after years of mis-rule and corruption.


The rich steel tycoon from the essential Punjab province held off a confront from ex-cricket star Imran Khan who had hoped to smash decades of supremacy by Sharif and the Pakistan People's Party led by the Bhutto family.
Sharif, 63, affirmed victory in a triumphant speech to supporters as results from Saturday's election showed a devastating lead for his party.
https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjJpahiiCrUrF_EhhkgYSYlo72CqV2yWiSs8LfN1_WyWKxSNSHSwKemKVGEmzFkO4XKaacipVACDb5f2Wrhp_GaOu3YMhU-nGNDvFbfLV1YMbFoNCnXF4vRpCPAZtFacXkrXwlSBfrFTqGf/s1600/Imran-Khan.jpg"Results are still coming in, but this much is confirmed: we're the single largest party so far," he declared to hoots of joy from the crowd in Punjab's capital, Lahore.
"Please pray that by morning we're in a position that we don't need the crutch of coalition partners."
in spite of pre-election aggression and attacks on Saturday that killed at least 17 people, millions evicted to cast their ballot in a objective election for a country that has been ruled by the military for more than half of its in turmoil history.
http://farm5.staticflickr.com/4048/4204791129_42c11bdacd.jpgWith the count ongoing into the night, Sharif's Pakistan Muslim League - Nawaz (PML-N) was leading in 119 of the 272 National Assembly seats that were contested.
His party may not have sufficient seats to rule on its own and may be forced into a partnership, which could make it complicated to push reforms greatly needed to restore a near-failed economy.
Sharif, who advocate free-market economics, is likely to follow privatization and deregulation to restore waning growth.
http://www.sv.uio.no/esop/english/research/publications/master-thesis/imf.jpgHe will have to relieve extensive displeasure over widespread corruption, unceasing power cuts and breakdown infrastructure in the nuclear-armed country, a tactical U.S. ally. One of the first likely tasks will be to confer with the International Monetary Fund for a multi-billion-dollar post security.
Cricketing hero Khan in the end did not have the thrust needed to stumble Sharif regardless of his reputation among urban youths, many of whom were voting for the first time in an election that saw a vigorous turnout of 60 percent.
http://previous.presstv.ir/photo/20130112/kaffash20130112171715340.jpgThey had rallied after Khan's calls for an end to splice and a cut short to U.S. drone strikes against suspected militants on Pakistani soil.
Still, Khan's Tehrik-i-Insaf (PTI) put up a strong fight beside the PPP, with the count showing the two parties too close to call with about 34 seats each. The PPP led the government for the past five years with 124 lawmakers in parliament.
"Nawaz's victory says two things about Pakistan: one, the people of Pakistan favor the reassure of status quo over the hesitation of revolutions; and two, all roads to the hub go through Punjab, and in Punjab, people are right-leaning and old-fashioned," said senior journalist Nusrat Javeed.
"Still, for a party that only really arrived on the political scene in a serious way two years ago, PTI's performance was remarkable, to say the least."
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A series of bomb blasts blemished election day, with one attack on a party office in the southern city of Karachi killing 11 people and hurtful about 40.
Pakistan's Taliban, who are close to al Qaeda, killed more than 125 people in election-related violence since April. The group, which is combating to fall over the U.S.-backed government, regards the poll as un-Islamic.
Notwithstanding Pakistan's history of coup, the army stayed out of politics for the duration of the five years of the last government and throw its prop up behind Saturday's election.
It still sets overseas and security policy and will guide the barbed relationship with Washington as NATO troops take out from neighboring Afghanistan in 2014.
http://www.globalpost.com/sites/default/files/imagecache/gp3_slideshow_large/nato_troops_leave_afghanistan_2012-11-09.jpgNevertheless, some apprehension the military could step back in if there were a repeat of the ineffectiveness and corruption that aggravated many Pakistanis during the last government.
Sharif, who was toppled in a 1999 bloodless takeover by former army chief Pervaiz Musharraf, has said generals have no rest in politics.
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He may also take steps to recover ties with Pakistan's arch-enemy, India. Efforts to improve trade between the neighbors have caught up due to misgiving on both sides.
If Sharif is obligatory into a partnership he may look to Islamist parties to cobble collectively a majority in parliament.
In all 272 contested seats, a further 70 - most held in reserve for women and members of non-Muslim minorities - are owed to parties on the basis of their performance in the constituency. The government would need 172 seats to have a majority of the total of 342.

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